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Weather Outlook for Mauritius and Rodrigues

The satellite pictures show the evolution of several tropical low-pressure areas in between latitudes 5 to 15 degrees south.

The latest available numerical weather prediction models still have lot of uncertainties and indicate the following:

the tropical low-pressure area to the southwest of Diego Garcia is expected to move towards the south and is likely to intensify gradually next week. There is a low probability that the system intensifies into a Moderate Tropical Storm;
in the event, it reaches the Moderate Tropical Storm intensity next week, it will be named ‘DJOUNGOU’ while located far to the north of Rodrigues;
it may influence the weather at Rodrigues as from Tuesday 13 February.

Weather outlook for Saturday 10 February to Wednesday 14 February, 2024

Passing showers, moderate at times.
Wind mainly easterly 20-30 km/h with gusts of 60 km/h.

Passing showers, becoming frequent as from Tuesday 13 February.
Wind east-south-easterly 35 km/h strengthening gradually with gusts of the order of 70 km/h.
The sea will deteriorate gradually with wave heights of the order of 5 metres as from Tuesday 13 February 2024.

There are significant uncertainties in both the track and intensity of the system.

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