Latest satellite pictures show a vast area of low pressure lies to the north of the Mascarenes with at least two main centres – one located in the vicinity of Agalega and the other far to the north-northeast of Rodrigues.
Environmental conditions are not ideal for the immediate development of these lows and the available numerical weather models do not agree on the short-term evolution of these two systems.
However, there are indications that one of these lows may gain strength as from Thursday 15 to Friday 16. In the event, it reaches the Moderate Tropical Storm intensity, it will be named ‘DJOUNGOU’ while located far to the north of Rodrigues.
For the first part of the week, the weather at Mauritius and Rodrigues will be influenced by a rather moist airstream.
Passing showers, mainly to the East, the South and the Central Plateau.
Wind will blow from the east at a speed of about 20 km/h with peaks of 50 km/h; increasing to 30km/h with gusts of 60km/h as from Wednesday 14
Few passing showers in the morning and evening.
Wind easterly 35 km/h with gusts of the order of 70 km/h, strengthening by the end of the period.
The sea will deteriorate gradually with wave heights of the order of 4 metres as from Thursday 15 February 2024.
Wind Easterly 15km/h increasing to 30km/h with gusts of 65km/h as from Wednesday 14.
Sea will become rough as from the night of Tuesday 13.