Satellite pictures show a vast area of low pressure lies to the north of the Mascarenes with at least two main centres—one located in the vicinity of Agalega and the other one to the north-northeast of Rodrigues near latitude 16 degrees south and longitude 67 degrees east.
The latest model run indicates that the low to the north-northeast of Rodrigues is likely to intensify during the next two or three days. There are also indications that the environmental conditions may gradually become favourable for its further development.
In the event, it reaches the Moderate Tropical Storm intensity, it will be named ‘DJOUNGOU’ while located far to the north of Rodrigues.
A rather moist airstream is flowing over the Mascarenes.
Weather outlook for Monday 12 February to Friday 16 February, 2024
Passing showers, mainly to the East, the South and the Central Plateau.
Wind easterly 25 km/h with peaks of 50 km/h, strengthening as from Friday.
Few passing showers in the morning and evening.
Wind easterly 35 km/h with gusts of the order of 70 km/h, strengthening by the end of the period.
The sea will deteriorate gradually with wave heights of the order of 4 metres as from Thursday 15 February 2024.
Wind easterly 15 km/h increasing to 30 km/h with gusts of 65 km/h as from Wednesday.
Sea will become rough as from Thursday.