The Severe Tropical Storm Djoungou has intensified into a tropical cyclone during the day and it continues to evolve in a favourable environment. At 16h00 this afternoon, it was centered near latitude 16.4 degrees south and longitude 70.1 degrees east, that is at a distance of about 790 km to the north east of Rodrigues. It is moving in a general east-south-easterly direction at a speed of about 15 km/h.
Most weather models indicate that Djoungou may intensify further as it is evolving in a favourable environment. It does not represent a threat since it will continue to move away from the Mascarenes Islands towards the south-east.
The low-level circulation off the north-east coast of Madagascar is gradually developing. Satellite pictures of this morning show an increase in the convective clouds in the vicinity of these systems. Most weather models are intensifying the system as from early next week while moving it eastward. There is likelihood that this system may reach the naming stage on Monday 19 February 2024 in the afternoon. However, there are still some uncertainties regarding the intensity and movement of the low. The Mauritius Meteorological Services is keeping a close watch on the evolution of this system.
Weather outlook for Saturday 17 to Tuesday 20 February, 2024
Mauritius
Mauritius:
Passing showers, mainly to the East, the South and the Central Plateau. The showers are likely to be more frequent and scattered as from tomorrow. The showers are likely to become moderate to the west and the central plateau as from tomorrow.
Wind will blow from the east-south-easterly at a speed of about 25 km/h with peaks of 50 km/h.
St-Brandon
St Brandon:
Occasional showers.
Wind south-easterly to southerly 20 km/h
Rodrigues
Rodrigues:
Rather cloudy on Saturday with passing showers, improving gradually on Sunday as Djoungou moves away.
Wind easterly 45 km/h with gusts of the order of 90 km/h, weakening gradually as from tomorrow.
The sea will be rough to very rough with waves of the order of 4.0 meters.
