The Tropical cyclone Djoungou has intensified into an intense tropical cyclone in the morning today and it continues to evolve in a favorable environment. At 16h00 today, it was centered near latitude 19.8 degrees south and longitude 78.8 degrees east, that is at a distance of about 1650 km almost to the east of Rodrigues. It is moving in a general east-south-easterly direction at an accelerated speed of about 35 km/h.
Most weather models indicate that Djoungou will maintain this intensity till tomorrow and as it will move to higher latitudes, it will transition to a post tropical system. It does not represent a threat since it will continue to move away from the Mascarenes Islands towards the south-east.
The low-level circulation off the north-east coast of Madagascar has intensified into a tropical disturbance this morning and it is expected to continue to develop. Latest satellite image indicate more organized convective clouds in the vicinity of the system. Most weather models are intensifying the system as from early this week while moving initially towards the north east. There is likelihood that this system may reach the naming stage during the night of Monday 19 to early Tuesday 20 morning. However, there are still some uncertainties regarding the intensity and movement of the system.
Weather outlook for Sunday 18 to Wednesday 21 February, 2024
Mauritius
Mauritius:
Passing showers, mainly to the East, the South and the Central Plateau. The showers are likely to be more frequent and scattered as from Wednesday 21. The showers are likely to become moderate at times.
Wind will blow from the east-south-easterly at a speed of about 25 km/h with peaks of 50 km/h, strengthening gradually as from Wednesday night.
St-Brandon
St Brandon:
Partly cloudy to cloudy with showers at times, becoming thundery as from tomorrow.
Wind south-easterly to southerly 20 km/h, strengthening gradually to reach 55 km/h with gust of 100 km/h as from Wednesday 21.
The sea will become very rough with swells and the wave height of the order or 5 to 6 meters.
Rodrigues
Rodrigues:
Partly cloudy on Sunday with few showers.
Wind easterly 35 km/h with gusts of the order of 70 km/h, weakening gradually as from tomorrow.
The sea will be rough with waves of the order of 3 meters.
