Convective activity, associated with the monsoon trough is being observed between Agalega and Diego Garcia. A weak low pressure area can be located almost to the east of Agalega.
This system is likely to move towards the South east initially and then recurve towards the West-southwest as from Thursday 29 heading towards Madagascar as from Friday 01 March.
The low transiting to the north of the Mascarenes is likely to deepen as from Friday 01 March when it will be located at about 750 km to the north-northwest of Rodrigues. As the low moves towards Madagascar, most weather models agree that it may intensify further into a tropical storm while approaching the east coast of the Malagasy Republic.
While the low-pressure system tracks west-southwest, it will extend a trough towards the Mascarene Islands; significantly active clouds are likely to influence weather at St Brandon, Rodrigues, and Mauritius with heavy showers and thunderstorms.
The combined effect of the low pressure and an anticyclone to the south of the Mascarenes will maintain a windy weather over the Mascarene Islands during the weekend.
Weather outlook till Sunday 03 March 2024:
Mauritius
1. Weather at Mauritius
Mainly fair on Thursday 29 and weather will start to deteriorate as from Friday 01 evening.
Heavy showers with thunderstorms during the weekend of Saturday 02 and Sunday 03 March 2024. Water accumulation and local flooding are likely in risk areas.
Wind eastern sector 35 km/h with gusts of 65 km/h.
The open sea will become rough on Friday 01 and will improve on Tuesday 05.
Rodrigues
2. Weather at Rodrigues
Scattered showers becoming heavy at times with thunderstorms as from Friday 01 March. A slight improvement is expected as from Sunday 03.
Wind easterly 45 km/h with gusts of 75 km/h
The open sea will become rough as from Friday 01.
St Brandon
3. St Brandon:
The weather will deteriorate as from Friday 01 with thundery showers heavy at times till Sunday 03 March.
Wind south-easterly about 25 km/h, strengthening gradually to 40 km/h with gust of 75 km/h on Saturday 02. The wind will gradually back to North-Easterly on Sunday 03 and will weaken.
The sea will become rough as from Friday 01.
